Latest Interviews
Showing 196–210 of 573 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs26 min
Middle East risks
Edward P. Djerejian, Emile Hokayem, Alison Nathan
Former U.S. Ambassador Edward Jerijian and IIS Senior Fellow Emile Hokeyem analyze how the October 7th attacks successfully recentered the Palestinian cause while triggering a broader regional conflict involving Iran-aligned groups in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen. Experts warn that although Hamas has achieved its goal of ending the marginalization of Palestine, Israel remains committed to its military destruction while facing significant risks of miscalculation due to Hezbollah's involvement and disruptions to global oil flows. The prevailing consensus identifies a two-state solution as the only viable long-term resolution, yet current Israeli political constraints and the absence of credible Palestinian leadership render such a framework impossible in the immediate future.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
M&A in 2024: Navigating opportunities and challenges
Stephan Feldgoise, Mark Sorrell, Allison Nathan
Following a 2023 period defined by valuation misalignments and high interest rates, the M&A market is experiencing a surge in dialogue and specific sector activity driven by resilient natural resources, healthcare, and stable industrial performance. While private equity deal volume has contracted due to financing costs, corporate buyers have maintained robust activity and public-to-private transactions have reached record levels to address pressure on portfolio monetization. Looking ahead to 2024, experts anticipate a normalization of interest rates and reduced inflation will catalyze a rebound in technology deals and strategic spinoffs, with international activity expected to trail the US market by several months.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
Why the global economy and markets can continue to outperform in 2024
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs reports that the global economy outperformed 2023 forecasts, with the U.S. avoiding recession through post-pandemic normalization while equity markets mispriced resilience against aggressive rate hikes. Looking ahead to 2024, the firm projects modest global growth and declining inflation, predicting that risky assets like equities and commodities will outperform cash as central banks approach a peak in policy rates before gradual cuts begin in the second half of the year. Despite elevated long-term interest rates and geopolitical risks such as Middle East tensions, the investment strategy emphasizes a shift toward diversified portfolios to capitalize on AI-driven earnings and supply-side commodity pressures.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Unlocking the AI M&A Supercycle
Jung Min, Matt Lucas, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs' latest analysis characterizes the current generative AI boom as a transformative, economy-wide shift driven by chat interfaces and algorithmic leaps, while noting that widespread enterprise adoption remains in a nascent phase. Investment capital is currently concentrated on infrastructure components like semiconductors and data centers, leading to a shift in public market valuations toward tangible results rather than speculation. Although acquisition activity is temporarily constrained by strategic uncertainty, future M&A waves and significant economic productivity gains are projected to emerge once regulatory frameworks stabilize and enterprise spending matures over the coming decade.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Commercial real estate risks
Scott Rechler, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Alison Nathan, Sten van Nuremberg
Distinguished voices Scott Reckler and Sten van Nieuwerberg diverge on the severity of the commercial real estate crisis, with Reckler predicting a bifurcated market and slow stabilization by 2025 while van Nieuwerberg argues for a structural decline affecting even premium assets. Both experts warn that $2.6 trillion in maturing loans and restrictive lending standards will trigger a "train wreck in slow motion" forcing the conversion of obsolete office space, though physical constraints limit viable housing transitions to a small fraction of the stock. Consequently, regional banks face severe distress as asset values plummet 40–60%, potentially wiping out equity and precipitating a banking consolidation comparable to the 1980s S&L crisis or a mild recession driven by a credit crunch.
- Goldman Sachs34 min
Colossal Biosciences’ Ben Lamm sees ‘de-extinction’ as vital to fighting climate change
Ben Lamm, Amit Sinha, George Church
Co-founded by CEO Ben Lamb and geneticist George Church, Colossal Biosciences leverages multiplex CRISPR editing to restore extinct species like the woolly mammoth as functional tools for Arctic climate mitigation and biodiversity preservation. The company has secured $225 million in funding to execute a for-profit model generating revenue through carbon credits and ecological services, while simultaneously advancing spin-off technologies in artificial wombs and human medicine. By reintroducing megafauna to the Arctic, Colossal aims to lower ground temperatures and store carbon, with subsequent targets including the Thylacine and Dodo to address global ecological voids.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
Robert Rubin: The biggest risks to the US economy are political, not financial
Robert Rubin, David, Bob Rubin
Former Treasury Secretary Bob Rubin outlines a philosophy where all decision-making must rely on probabilistic assessments rather than certainties, a principle that guides his assessment of current systemic stability and global risks. He identifies political dysfunction in the United States as the primary threat to the economy, while arguing that governments, not corporations, must lead the transition on climate change and international cooperation with China. Drawing from his decades at Goldman Sachs, Rubin emphasizes that sustainable success requires intense focus balanced with institutional support for employees to navigate an uncertain future where guarantees are nonexistent.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
How companies, private equity firms, and institutional investors are navigating the global economy
Goldman Sachs executive Jim Esposito outlines a global economic landscape marked by regional divergence, shifting private equity dynamics, and a pivot from "hard landing" fears to a "soft landing" consensus. While corporate balance sheets are historically strong and commodity prices signal recovery, the event highlights persistent risks stemming from geopolitical fragmentation, an anemic IPO market, and liquidity concerns within the unregulated non-bank sector. Esposito anticipates that despite these challenges and an approaching U.S. election, the financial system remains resilient due to post-2008 regulatory safeguards and continued private sector innovation.
- Goldman Sachs41 min
A conversation with Renaissance Technologies CEO Peter Brown
Peter Brown pioneered early generative AI and the Deep Blue chess machine at IBM before co-founding Renaissance Technologies' dominant quantitative trading strategy, where he served as sole CEO following a 2009 succession. Under his technical leadership, the firm transformed its operations by replacing manual processes with rigorous engineering and automated systems, allowing it to navigate major financial crises like the 2007 Quant Quake and 2008 collapse while maintaining strict scientific discipline. Brown's career trajectory illustrates a consistent philosophy that complex market dynamics and human intuition can be effectively reduced to computation and data-driven models.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
NBA star Chris Paul says leadership is about building trust on and off the court
Following the Juneteenth observance, 18-year NBA veteran Chris Paul discussed his memoir "61: Life Lessons from Papa" and his eight-year tenure as NBAPA president during an interview hosted by Goldman Sachs' Firmwide Black Network. The conversation detailed Paul's response to his grandfather's murder, his strategic evolution from a vertical scorer to a point guard, and his advocacy for HBCUs and underrepresented storytelling through his production company, ODIP. Paul emphasized that his leadership philosophy prioritizes direct communication and collective action over personal likability, reflecting his ongoing commitment to competitive play and social equity.
- Goldman Sachs30 min
BlackRock’s Rick Rieder on his career, the markets, and investing in the current environment
BlackRock's Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income, Rick Reeder, outlined a market strategy prioritizing carry and equity convexity while predicting Federal Reserve rate cuts in the latter half of 2024. Reeder attributes the resilience of the U.S. economy to a service-heavy structure and deleveraged private sectors, positioning the nation to absorb a $30 trillion debt load through nominal GDP growth. On the technological front, he directs BlackRock's capital toward businesses with proprietary data to capitalize on AI advantages, cautioning that only early-stage private investments currently avoid portfolio skew.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Corporate Credit Concerns
Boaz Weinstein, Lotfi Karoui, Alyssa Nathan, Latvi Karwi
Goldman Sachs Chief Credit Strategist Latvi Karwi projects a benign credit outlook with default rates stabilizing near historical averages, while Saba Capital's Boaz Weinstein warns that tight spreads fail to price in significant macroeconomic uncertainty and rising bankruptcy risks. The discussion highlights a structural divergence where leveraged loan issuers face immediate floating-rate pressure despite investment-grade fundamentals, alongside a growing schism in default rates between public and private credit markets. Consequently, investment strategies are split between capitalizing on carry in fixed income versus rotating into U.S. Treasuries to hedge against the technical risks of rapid spread widening and potential valuation compression.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
MIT's Zeynep Ton explains how caring deeply for workers pays off for companies
Zeynep Ton, Greg Schell, Zainab Khan
Zainab Khan argues that the high turnover and low wages plaguing frontline industries are strategic failures rather than inevitable costs, driven by a misguided belief that labor efficiency requires squeezing workers to maximum capacity. By implementing the "Good Job" playbook—which involves simplifying work, standardizing processes, and maintaining operational slack—companies like Costco and Quick Trip have achieved lower turnover and higher profitability while paying significantly better wages. The Good Jobs Institute is currently working to convert 10 million low-quality jobs into stable, well-compensated roles by 2027, aiming to prove that treating workers with deep care creates a virtuous cycle of productivity and revenue.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Why the U.K.’s high inflation has global implications
Jari Stehn, George Cole, Alison Nathan, Yari Shteyn
Amidst a unique confluence of labor shortages and energy shocks, UK headline inflation remains at 8% as the Bank of England prepares for a series of rate hikes to a terminal level of 5.75%. Goldman Sachs forecasts a slower disinflation path that will likely trigger a fiscal drag on GDP and heighten the risk of recession to 40%, while mortgage costs surge and household consumption stagnates. Despite these headwinds, improving terms of trade and a more aggressive monetary stance relative to global peers are projected to drive the pound higher against the dollar and euro over the coming year.
- Goldman Sachs41 min
Man Group CEO Luke Ellis on hedge funds, quantitative strategies and leadership
Man Group CEO Luke Ellis will retire in September 2023, handing leadership to President Robin Grew as the $150 billion quantitative asset manager completes a seven-year strategic pivot toward customized solutions for pension and sovereign clients. Ellis credits this growth and operational efficiency to a model count expansion from six to 700, enabling the firm to navigate the shift from the 2010s' low-interest environment to the 2020s' inflationary volatility while leveraging AI with rigorous human oversight. Looking ahead, Ellis identifies Japan and specific inflation-resistant strategies as prime opportunities, though he warns that a tight global supply of talent and potential regulatory changes to leverage pose significant hurdles for the broader hedge fund industry.