Latest Interviews
Showing 1–15 of 22 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs20 min
What the Surge in IPOs Means for Investors
Jay Ritter, Owen Lamont, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs Research reports that the U.S. IPO market reached record issuance levels in 2026 while maintaining average valuations that distinguish current activity from historical speculative bubbles. Analyst Jay Ritter and Owen Lamont offer diverging perspectives on this surge, with Ritter arguing deep capital markets can absorb new supply without overvaluation, whereas Lamont warns that a massive wave of issuance signals the early stages of a potential bubble. Both experts agree that structural shifts, including expanded private markets and industry consolidation, have permanently reduced the average annual IPO count to roughly 100, fundamentally altering the relationship between new listings and future market returns.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
How Will AI Impact the Labor Market?
Daron Acemoglu, Neil Thompson, Joseph Briggs, Allison Nathan
Experts from Goldman Sachs and MIT project that while AI will displace tens of millions of U.S. workers over the next decade through significant labor reallocation, the unemployment rate is expected to rise by less than one percentage point annually as new job creation offsets automation. The consensus indicates a gradual transition driven by integration barriers rather than sudden mass layoffs, though disagreement persists regarding short-term net employment impacts depending on whether firms prioritize replacing or complementing human labor. Recorded in June 2026, these forecasts highlight that the trajectory of inequality and total job levels will ultimately depend on whether AI development focuses on automating routine cognitive tasks or augmenting high-value human expertise.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
Emma Grede on Building Iconic Brands and the Inspiration Behind 'Start with Yourself'
Entrepreneur Emma Greed challenges conventional views on networking and work-life balance, advocating instead for resilience built on professional excellence and the acceptance of life's fluctuating "seasons." In her book *Start With Yourself*, she urges leaders to discard the "self-made" myth, embrace strict trade-offs based on core principles, and prioritize financial fluency to navigate AI-driven disruption. By promoting a mindset that separates personal identity from risk outcomes and values team assembly over individual heroics, Greed offers a pragmatic roadmap for sustainable success and equitable power acquisition.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Why the Fed’s Hawkish Turn Could Support the AI Boom
Tony Pasquariello, Josh Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson
New Federal Reserve Chair Warsh signaled a data-dependent approach focused on price stability while the committee's uncertain dot plot and absence of forward guidance prompted a hawkish market reaction. Panelists interpret current conditions as a mid-cycle adjustment driven by falling oil prices from geopolitical shifts and resilient AI-driven equity momentum rather than impending recession. This unique environment, characterized by rapid narrative shifts and robust capital absorption, suggests a high-velocity economic landscape distinct from the stagnation of previous years.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
‘Affordability’: Consumer Concerns and Government Proposals
David Mericle, Alec Phillips, Allison Nathan
Amidst a persistent housing affordability crisis driven by regulatory constraints and construction labor shortages, the administration has relied on reactive executive orders to utilize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac capacity rather than enacting comprehensive legislative reforms. While these measures aim to modestly lower mortgage rates through increased mortgage-backed security purchases and a ban on institutional single-family home purchases, they fail to address the root causes of supply scarcity or deliver immediate price relief for homeowners. Future policy focus is expected to shift toward zoning incentives and speculative tariff rebates, though significant progress remains hindered by the need for congressional approval and the long-term nature of structural housing deficits.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
After a Summer of Stablecoins, What’s Next?
Brian Brooks, Barry Eichengreen, Allison Nathan
The U.S. "Genius Act" establishes a comprehensive federal framework for stablecoins that mandates full backing by high-quality assets like U.S. Treasury bills while subjecting issuers to national bank-style supervision. Key figures Brian Brooks and Barry Eichengreen debate the legislation's efficacy, with Brooks advocating for private innovation and treasury demand growth while Eichengreen warns of systemic risks to the singleness of money and potential taxpayer liabilities. Despite these conflicting views on financial stability, the regulatory clarity is expected to dismantle existing market monopolies and accelerate mass adoption across savings, remittances, and commercial payment sectors.
- Goldman Sachs36 min
Are Investors Complacent?
Jan Hatzius, Dom Wilson, Alison Nathan, Dominic Wilson
The U.S. has raised effective tariff rates by nine percentage points, introducing new levies on China, Canada, and Mexico while delaying agricultural tariffs until late next year. This shift, combined with a fiscally expansionary "Big Beautiful Act," is projected to push core PCE inflation to the low threes and suppress 2025 GDP growth to between 1% and 1.5%. In response, financial markets anticipate Federal Reserve rate cuts beginning in September to mitigate these temporary price shocks, while the U.S. dollar continues a structural depreciation against a backdrop of resilient global trade.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Tariffs: What’s ahead and why it matters
Alec Phillips, Joseph Briggs, Kamakshya Trivedi, Alison Nathan
Starting February 1, 2025, the administration implemented a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and delayed measures against Canada and Mexico while accelerating steel and aluminum duties to 25% with no exemptions. This unprecedented two-week escalation compresses trade war dynamics into a single window, projecting a mid-single-digit rise in effective U.S. tariff rates that could slow American growth by 25 basis points and push core inflation to 2.6% by year-end. As global central banks diverge with the Federal Reserve adopting a slightly hawkish stance, investors are increasingly hedging against dollar strength while anticipating a pivotal April 1 report on structural tariff mechanisms.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Navigating 2025: Why investors need to diversify and hedge their portfolios
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo
The 2024 financial landscape featured broad outperformance of U.S. large-cap equities and tight credit spreads, driven by resilient global growth despite significant regional divergences and a 100-basis point Federal Reserve rate cut. Looking ahead to 2025, strategists anticipate a reflationary macro regime that will likely compress risk premiums and challenge concentrated valuations, prompting a strategic shift toward diversified equity barbell positions and higher allocation to fixed income. Investors are advised to prepare for elevated term premiums and geopolitical uncertainty by utilizing gold, currency hedges, and defensive options to mitigate risks associated with sticky inflation and supply-driven bond market dynamics.
- Goldman Sachs33 min
Investing in Sports: Women’s Sports and the Future
Nicole Pullen Ross, Stacy Sonnenberg, Willow Bay
Goldman Sachs' Stacey Sonnenberg attributes the surging valuation of women's sports to decades of Title IX investment and rising media rights, projecting that WNBA and NWSL franchises could match men's league peers within two decades through patient capital. High-profile acquisitions like Angel City FC's $250 million sale to Bob Iger and Willow Bay highlight strategic shifts toward direct-to-consumer revenue and global expansion to address current market gaps. As ownership groups prioritize facility upgrades and diverse sponsorship activations, the industry anticipates converging growth rates despite a persistent valuation gap between current women's and men's teams.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
Investing in Sports: A New Media Model
Nicole Pullen Ross, Dave Dase, Gene Sykes
Driven by lucrative 20-year media rights deals and the migration of distribution from legacy broadcasters to tech platforms, the sports industry is navigating a valuation surge that currently places the NBA at $76 billion. As cord-cutting erodes traditional cable bundles and regional networks collapse, leagues and legacy broadcasters are restructuring through direct-to-consumer streaming services and modified game rules to maximize subscriber engagement. This fundamental shift, supported by the expansion of sports betting and the growing global influence of athlete personal brands, is projected to continue driving team valuations upward over the next decade.
- Goldman Sachs33 min
Battery Ventures’ Chelsea Stoner on the power of being ‘stage agnostic’ in tech investing
Chelsea Stoner, Michael Brandmeyer
Since 1983, Battery Ventures has navigated multiple generational shifts through a four-partner executive committee and a stage-agnostic model that targets software infrastructure and applications globally. General Partner Chelsea Stoner leads the firm's strategy to deploy capital into diverse deal types, from early-stage product-market fit acquisitions to later-stage European buyouts, while maintaining a rigorous focus on cash flow and proprietary data moats in artificial intelligence. As public markets remain constrained, the firm leverages its non-consensus decision-making culture to guide portfolio companies through a five-to-six-year runway toward eventual M&A consolidation or IPO readiness.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
The missing link to retirement security
Michael Moran, Alison Nathan, Mike Moran
Economic pressures from inflation and rising debt now force many workers to delay retirement, while a divergence in market gains and fixed-income yields exacerbates savings inequality across income quintiles. In response, regulatory reforms like SECURE Act 2.0 and the expansion of Pooled Employer Plans are driving the adoption of automatic enrollment and age-triggered investment strategies to boost participation. Looking forward, the industry aims to democratize access through personalized digital planning, integrate alternative assets into defined contribution menus, and develop hybrid decumulation models that provide steady retirement income.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Will Fed policy trigger a US recession?
Allison Nathan, Claudia Sahm, Bill Dudley, Rob Kaplan, Alyssa Nathan
Following the technical activation of the Sahm Rule in July 2024, leading economists are divided on the likelihood of an imminent U.S. recession, with estimates ranging from Goldman Sachs' 20% probability to Bill Dudley's 60% forecast based on conflicting interpretations of labor supply shifts and demand destruction. While Fed Chair Powell signals impending rate cuts, experts like Claudia Sahm and Dudley warn that monetary policy risks lagging behind structural economic shifts, potentially turning a soft landing into an unforced recession if the central bank fails to act decisively. The prevailing base case anticipates a mild downturn or no contraction if the Federal Reserve successfully lowers borrowing costs, though divergent views persist regarding whether current unemployment data reflects a genuine demand shock or a temporary labor force anomaly.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Why the French and UK elections matter for investors
Sharon Bell, George Cole, Alison Nathan
French equity and bond markets have surged into volatility following President Macron's snap election, driven by concerns over the nation's 110% debt-to-GDP ratio and the potential for fiscal slippage under a fractured coalition government. While credit spreads have widened to 2017 levels and the STOXX 600 underperformed the S&P 500 by 5%, the broader European response remains contained, suggesting investors currently view the crisis as a domestic issue rather than a Eurozone-wide threat. In contrast, UK markets have maintained stability ahead of the July 4th election due to clear polling leads for Labour and strict fiscal commitments, highlighting a sharp divergence in investor confidence between the two major economies.