Latest Interviews
Showing 1–15 of 125 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs16 min
Energy Disruptions Are Here to Stay
Amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia, the oil market has stabilized around $80–$85 for Q3 as investors focus on fundamental product deficits rather than headline volatility. While crude supply shocks have been partially mitigated by Russian export growth and strategic stockpiles, severe tightness in diesel and heating oil inventories threatens to sustain elevated prices through winter. Market analysts project a potential price dip to the $70s in Q4 if diplomatic progress occurs, though a significant supply response is unlikely before 2027 due to the long timeline required to rebuild global inventories.
- Bank of America21 min
Global Rates & FX Views: Central banks – the aftermath
Sphia Salim, Zviya Salim, Izumi Devalier, Agnieszka Ngerite, Bruno Brzezina
The Bank of Japan maintained a hawkish tone regarding inflation proximity while keeping the September rate hike on contingency, with strategists projecting a terminal rate of 1.75% by 2027 despite political headwinds. Meanwhile, the Bank of England split 6-3 to hold rates amidst balanced forward guidance, while the US Federal Reserve's lack of immediate action triggered a market reassessment that halved the probability of December hikes in favor of a potential September move. Across these major central banks, analysts note diverging paths where exchange rate sensitivity and QT impacts now play critical roles, all set against a backdrop of a potentially overvalued US 10-year yield and a US economy peaking in its reflationary phase.
- Bank of America14 min
Signals & Noise: Bubble Building in the Age of AI
Ben Bowler, Arjun Goyal, Benjamin Bowler
Bank of America Global Research identifies a prevailing "bubble era" driven by reflexive feedback loops where rising prices and volatility reinforce one another across asset classes like AI, tech, and cryptocurrencies. The firm's proprietary Bubble Risk Indicator (BRI) quantifies this instability using historical price data, successfully flagging recent pullbacks in Korean equities and vulnerable sectors such as cybersecurity and semiconductors. Strategic guidance suggests investors prioritize monitoring this metric over traditional valuations to navigate an environment characterized by higher volatility, larger drawdowns, and rapid snapbacks without an immediate terminal crash.
- Y Combinator14 min
How to Get Your First 10 Customers
This guide outlines a tactical framework for founders to secure their first ten customers by prioritizing manual, high-trust interactions over scalable automation. Early acquisition focuses exclusively on personal networks and in-person efforts, utilizing specific channels like micro-events, targeted Reddit DMs, and value-driven advice requests before ever deploying prospecting tools. Once these foundational deals are won through unscalable work, the strategy shifts to utilizing software like Apollo and Clay to replicate the validated pitch for subsequent growth.
- InstituteofTrading10 min
ITPM Flash Ep115 Defence against the Machine
Amidst a shifting AI landscape dominated by energy demands and a new agentic CPU era, a massive cybersecurity catalyst has emerged from Anthropic's internal Mythos model, which exposed thousands of critical global vulnerabilities without public release. Experts warn this creates a narrow defensive window before adversarial nations potentially replicate these capabilities, prompting a focused trade thesis on the Cyber First Trust Nasdaq Cyber Security ETF (CIBR). To capitalize on this thematic momentum, a structured options strategy involves buying 10 November $90 calls while selling 5 August $95 calls for a net debit of roughly $5,550, targeting a 3:1 return if the ETF rallies 29% by year-end.
- Bank of America7 min
Must Read Research: Bull & Bear, AI Infrastructure, Underdog and Housing Markets
Candice Browning, Michael Hartnett, Rafe Jadrosich
Recorded on June 8, 2026, this session analyzes a macroeconomic backdrop defined by $6 trillion in U.S. equity wealth gains alongside persistent inflation that has pushed nearly two-thirds of global central banks past their targets. The discussion details specific growth opportunities in hyperscale data center industrial catering, projected to reach $100 billion, and Underdog's expansion as a top-ranked social-first prediction market platform. Additionally, the briefing evaluates diverging housing sector trends, where affordability constraints have forced major builders to cut margins in key regions while luxury segments and remodel markets benefit from resilient high-income demand.
- InstituteofTrading12 min
ITPM Flash Ep114 Point, Click, Profit.
Amidst stretched tech valuations and cooling inflation narratives, Logitech International presents a strategic opportunity as a debt-free hardware provider capitalizing on the enterprise PC refresh cycle driven by the Windows 10 end-of-life deadline and AI hardware adoption. The company's robust fiscal 2024 performance, characterized by positive operating cash flow and a new CEO-led R&D push, is supported by a bullish option strategy that pairs long August $130 calls with short July $140 calls to limit risk while targeting a potential price run to $155 by late July. This setup seeks to profit from the anticipated low-expectation Q1 earnings catalyst and the broader rotation toward companies with solid fundamentals over speculative assets.
Inside PsiQuantum: The Photonics Chip Never Seen Before
Leveraging Molecular Beam Epitaxy within a Class 1,000 cleanroom, engineers fabricate high-precision Barium Titanate on Strontium Titanate films atop 300mm silicon wafers to support single-photon quantum computing architectures. The ultra-high vacuum process employs rigorous environmental controls and automated transfer systems to ensure crystalline integrity while facilitating immediate integration into high-volume manufacturing lines with partners like GlobalFoundries. Ongoing characterization using RHEED and optical interference validates these substrates for future dual utility as qubits or storage vectors within scalable quantum systems.
- Stanford Online1h 6m
Stanford CS153 Frontier Systems | Ben Horowitz from a16z on Venture Capital Systems, Network Effects
Ben Horowitz outlines how Andreessen Horowitz disrupted the venture capital industry by restructuring traditional partnership models and prioritizing high-fidelity, centralized decision-making over democratic processes. The firm leveraged aggressive networking strategies and a willingness to bypass standard due diligence to secure outsized returns, while Horowitz now warns that geopolitical oversights and excessive regulation pose a greater threat to AI progress than the technology itself. Looking forward, Horowitz advises entrepreneurs to target pre-existing critical needs in sectors like healthcare and energy rather than rebundling legacy solutions, emphasizing that rapid capital deployment and single-leader authority are essential for survival in the new AI-driven economic landscape.
- Y Combinator38 min
Recursion Is The Next Scaling Law In AI
Ankit Gupta, Francois Chaubard
Two 2025 research initiatives, Hierarchical Reasoning Models (HRM) and Tiny Recursive Models (TRM), challenge standard scaling laws by utilizing inference-time recursion to achieve state-of-the-art reasoning with drastically fewer parameters. HRM reaches 27 million parameters using a three-level weighted hierarchy, while the simplified TRM distills the architecture to just 7 million parameters yet achieves 87% accuracy on ARC-Prize benchmarks by treating recurrence as a dynamic latent memory tape. These systems overcome historical RNN limitations through Deep Equilibrium Models and latent recursion, offering a pathway to efficient, deep reasoning that diverges from traditional Chain-of-Thought constraints.
- The Economist9 min
AI has got better at hacking—how big a risk is it?
Anthropic withheld its latest model, Mythos, from public release after it demonstrated the ability to autonomously identify and exploit critical software vulnerabilities, such as a 27-year-old OpenBSD flaw, with minimal human intervention. This decision follows evidence that AI scaling laws now enable automated systems to accelerate the vulnerability exploitation cycle from years to mere hours, drastically outpacing current defensive capabilities. While Anthropic employed responsible disclosure by patching the specific bug before sharing details, the incident highlights a growing risk that open-source models will soon democratize high-level cyberattacks.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Why Aren’t Investors More Worried?
Dominic Wilson, Allison Nathan
Despite a sharp market reversal triggered by news of a potential U.S. blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, the S&P 500 has recovered toward pre-conflict levels as investors discount prolonged escalation risks in favor of a rapid negotiation timeline. Dominic Wilson highlights a critical divergence where equity markets price in economic tolerance while rates markets remain hawkish on inflation, prompting a strategic approach that combines selective long-risk exposure in technology and commodities with aggressive hedging against downside tail events. This cyclical strategy urges investors to capitalize on volatility-driven pullbacks by reinforcing core positions in favorable regions like Japan and Korea while maintaining protection against persistent energy supply disruptions.
- Goldman Sachs15 min
Emerging Markets: Stirred, But Not Yet Shaken
Kamakshya Trivedi, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analysts observe that risky assets recently reversed gains following an Iran conflict-driven oil spike, shifting market expectations from rate cuts to an inflation shock that has strengthened the US dollar through favorable terms of trade. While traditional hedges have underperformed, the firm maintains a positive outlook for emerging market equities, projecting 10–12% upside driven by robust earnings and structural trends like the AI semiconductor supply chain rather than multiple expansion. This bullish stance assumes the energy crisis remains short-duration; however, a prolonged conflict threatening physical supply shortages could force a re-evaluation of growth estimates and trigger significant market damage.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
A New Way to Trade Emerging Markets
Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey
Global emerging market equities have surged 15% year-to-date on $45 billion in inflows, driven by strong earnings fundamentals and a weaker US dollar that specifically benefits non-China regions like Korea and Brazil. While broad markets rally, China lags due to a lack of earnings growth and tariff headwinds, prompting investors to shift capital toward Latin American assets and structural plays like call spreads to manage valuation risks. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish stance on this "EM ex-China" exposure, citing anticipated Brazilian interest rate cuts and election cycles as key catalysts for continued, albeit slower, appreciation.
- a16z1h 4m
The Biggest Bottlenecks For AI: Energy & Cooling
Jen Kha, David George, Monique, Catherine Boyle, Leslie
A leading investment firm details a strategy capitalizing on the shift of high-growth tech opportunities into the private market and the massive AI infrastructure build-out driven by giants like Google and Microsoft. The firm targets investments in high-momentum AI companies and top-tier research teams while anticipating energy constraints and a shift toward agent-based workflows that could disrupt traditional enterprise software. With a focus on long private tenures and granular monetization, the portfolio aims to capture value from a market projected to exceed the combined scale of the mobile and cloud cycles over the next decade.