Goldman Sachs
Showing 61–75 of 533 transcripts.
- 12 min
Chase or Fade the Rally?
In April 2026, global equity markets achieved record highs despite an energy crisis and geopolitical instability, driven by resilient corporate earnings fueled by AI capital expenditure and a record $4.8 trillion valuation in the U.S. tech sector. Strategist Bobby Malavi warns investors to fade the rally due to sensitivities regarding slower-than-anticipated rate cuts and Middle East risks, while recommending a "Halo" investment theme focused on undervalued hard assets and supply-chain-critical components. Although retail participation and corporate buybacks continue to underpin market floors, analysts anticipate Q1 earnings will serve as a critical litmus test to determine if the current supply shock environment will escalate into a broader demand shock.
- 41 min
Apollo's Jim Zelter on the Future of Private Credit
Apollo Global Management, led by Jim Zelter, is strategically expanding its $970 billion asset base to finance a projected $5 trillion to $6 trillion capital expenditure surge driven by AI infrastructure and industrial reshoring. By leveraging its integrated insurance subsidiary Athene and $150 billion in recent investment-grade capital, the firm aims to dominate the $40 trillion private credit market with a focus on large-scale projects like the Intel semiconductor venture and Japanese corporate carve-outs. This approach seeks to capitalize on the shift from non-investment grade lending to massive investment-grade financing needs while maintaining disciplined risk management that prioritizes fundamental value over market noise.
- 21 min
Why Aren’t Investors More Worried?
Dominic Wilson, Allison Nathan
Despite a sharp market reversal triggered by news of a potential U.S. blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, the S&P 500 has recovered toward pre-conflict levels as investors discount prolonged escalation risks in favor of a rapid negotiation timeline. Dominic Wilson highlights a critical divergence where equity markets price in economic tolerance while rates markets remain hawkish on inflation, prompting a strategic approach that combines selective long-risk exposure in technology and commodities with aggressive hedging against downside tail events. This cyclical strategy urges investors to capitalize on volatility-driven pullbacks by reinforcing core positions in favorable regions like Japan and Korea while maintaining protection against persistent energy supply disruptions.
- 33 min
Holocaust Survivors on Hope, Survival, and the Responsibility to Remember
Bernie Schanzer, Sheara Fredman
Brothers Henry and Bernie Shanzer recount their survival of the Holocaust as hidden children in Belgium and France, relying on their mother and four French rescuers who sheltered them from arrest and deportation during World War II. Despite their father's death in Convoy 27 and initial betrayal by a caretaker, the boys were saved through a network of false documents and hidden on farms before reuniting with their family in 1945, earning posthumous "Righteous Among the Nations" recognition for their saviors. The speakers emphasize the ongoing relevance of their testimony by linking historical persecution to modern anti-Semitic violence, urging the audience to maintain active vigilance and moral courage to prevent future atrocities.
- 10 min
Big Tech Opportunity
Lee Coppersmith, Mike Washington
Following a two-week ceasefire that triggered a rapid 2.5–3% market rally, institutional investors are shifting from defensive shorting strategies to re-entering secular winners, particularly within the artificial intelligence theme. While broad index volatility has reset, significant dislocation remains in mega-cap tech, where low valuations and suppressed positioning mirror conditions seen during the March 2020 crash, creating a specific opportunity for call option exposure. With earnings reports serving as the upcoming catalyst, client sentiment is pivoting toward resilience and upside potential as geopolitical risks recede into the background.
- 31 min
Reimagining Biopharma: Precision Medicine, Patients, and Purpose with Takeda CEO-Elect
Takeda's Board unanimously appointed Julie Kim as the incoming President and CEO, effective June 2026, to steer the $30 billion pharmaceutical giant through a strategic overhaul centered on AI-driven discovery and organic growth. During her incoming tenure, Kim plans to leverage the company's Japanese headquarters for geopolitical flexibility while navigating complex regulatory hurdles regarding Chinese clinical data and U.S. pricing structures. Her leadership strategy emphasizes "market innovation" to improve patient access and utilizes a "giving people an A" philosophy to accelerate talent development within the organization.
- 27 min
Iran Ceasefire: What’s next for markets?
Tony Pasquariello, Joshua Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson, Josh
Markets have transitioned into a post-ceasefire phase where equity drawdowns were capped near 10% and earnings growth remains robust, despite oil prices shifting to a permanent $78–$80 level that creates a new inflation baseline. Central banks now face a dual mandate dilemma that likely forces policy stasis, while hedge funds outperformed traditional portfolios by capitalizing on AI-driven CapEx and commodity-exposed emerging markets. Strategic allocations favor maintaining downside hedges and holding core assets like the Nasdaq and U.S. dollar as geopolitical realignments in the Gulf States and U.S.-China relations drive continued volatility through year-end.
- 22 min
Sir Sadiq Khan on London’s Global Edge—and What Comes Next
Sir Sadiq Khan, Kunal Shah, Sadiq Khan
London Mayor Sir Sadiq Khan emphasizes the capital's economic dominance by highlighting its £42 billion annual contribution to the UK Treasury while advocating for strategic devolution of powers to foster non-zero-sum regional growth. His administration aggressively targets five frontier sectors including AI and quantum computing, simultaneously deploying an inclusive talent strategy to prepare residents for rapid technological disruption. These economic initiatives are supported by tangible achievements in infrastructure, such as expanded safe cycling networks and five years of frozen transport fares, alongside historic improvements in air quality and public safety that have surpassed international peers.
- 16 min
Natural Gas in Focus: Iran Conflict Could Have ‘Very Painful’ Consequences
Ongoing attacks on Qatari LNG infrastructure have eliminated 20% of global supplies with a three-to-five-year recovery timeline, creating a critical inventory deficit that exceeds current alternative flows from China. Although prices have surged 50% to 70%, these levels remain insufficient to trigger widespread demand destruction in Asia, leaving markets vulnerable to severe winter spikes if the conflict prolongs. Experts warn that this uncertainty allows prices to creep upward without forcing the necessary industrial shutdowns, meaning a worst-case scenario could drive rates 100% higher to rebalance inventories before next winter.
- 21 min
AI Exchanges: Power Problems?
Brian Singer, Alison Nathan, George Lee
Goldman Sachs projects a 220% surge in global data center power demand by 2030 as hyperscalers commit over $300 billion to infrastructure, a trajectory comparable to adding the world's sixth-largest power consumer to the grid. This aggressive expansion faces severe bottlenecks in skilled labor and transmission supply, forcing a near-term reliance on natural gas simple-cycle generators while industry leaders navigate regulatory hurdles and "agentic" AI traffic growth. Despite the high capital intensity and a potential $40 per megawatt-hour premium for green energy, major technology firms maintain robust balance sheets to fund these transition costs while seeking to decouple their power expenses from consumer utility rates.
- 37 min
The Business Builder: New Mountain Capital's Steve Klinsky
Steve Klinsky, the CEO of the $60 billion New Mountain Capital, established the firm in 2000 to pursue a "defensive growth" investment strategy focused on operational improvements within non-cyclical sectors like infrastructure and healthcare technology. Under his leadership, the firm has achieved significant milestones including the $8 billion expansion of supply chain software provider Blue Yonder and the creation of over $100 billion in enterprise value through private credit. Klinsky continues to drive the firm's integration of Generative AI to optimize portfolio margins while maintaining active philanthropic leadership through his Modern States Education Alliance and long-term vision for the private equity landscape.
- 20 min
Iran Conflict: How Long, and How Bad?
Sanam Vakil, Dennis Ross, Kevin Donegan, Alison Nathan
Entering its fourth week, the Iran conflict has evolved into a regime-survival struggle where Tehran seeks to spread costs widely while the U.S. military targets Iran's missile capabilities and nuclear program. Strategic deadlock persists over the Strait of Hormuz, as limited convoy operations can only restore roughly 20% of normal oil flows despite rehearsed allied defenses. Panelists conclude that resolving this locked-in scenario requires a mediated outcome, though recent political assassinations and the need to rebuild Iran's collapsed economy complicate any immediate return to pre-conflict stability.
- 10 min
“I’d Rather Be a Bond”
Goldman Sachs Asset Management projects two U.S. interest rate cuts this year, diverging from market expectations that favor holding rates steady through 2026, as the Federal Reserve focuses on core inflation and labor market stability despite an energy shock driven by the Iran conflict. This geopolitical tension has caused bond yields to expand by 50 to 175 basis points, creating attractive entry points for investors who favor fixed income over equities to capitalize on widened credit spreads and rising real yields. Upcoming policy decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the ECB, and the Bank of England in April are expected to clarify rate trajectories and alleviate current market volatility.
- 32 min
Private Credit Concerns in Context
Alex Blostein, Vivek Bantwal, Allison Nathan
Amidst a sentiment shift driven by opacity and liquidity concerns, Goldman Sachs analysts project that private credit assets will avoid a systemic crisis despite a 15% annual growth slowdown and concentrated software exposure. While retail investors face potential redemptions constrained by fund caps, institutional direct lending remains insulated by conservative Loan-to-Value ratios and a 9–10% spread cushion that has yet to produce significant defaults. The sector's resilience relies on distinguishing between high-quality borrowers and vulnerable single-B names, with market recovery anticipated as idle capital returns to attract more attractive covenant terms over the next two years.
- 20 min
Steven Mnuchin: Navigating Credit Cycles, AI Investment, and Fiscal Policy
A leading economic strategist analyzes a converging trajectory of massive AI-driven capital expenditure, a resilient credit market dominated by private lending, and persistent fiscal challenges stemming from a 125% debt-to-GDP ratio. The speaker argues that while aggressive infrastructure build-outs and trade tariffs create market volatility, sustained economic growth of 3% or higher remains essential to maintain U.S. fiscal health and global currency dominance. Despite identified risks in labor supply and political spending inaction, the outlook projects continued U.S. outperformance through strategic technological adoption and a shift in banking dynamics.