Latest Interviews
Showing 16–30 of 47 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs25 min
Can the Asia Equity Rally Continue?
Following a neutral Trump-Xi summit that stabilized diplomatic expectations, Goldman Sachs analysts upgraded Chinese A-share earnings forecasts to 25% while highlighting a stark performance divergence between onshore equities and offshore stocks weighed down by major tech underperformance. The firm projects a sustained semiconductor supercycle driven by artificial intelligence demand, yet warns of near-term tactical overbought conditions in North Asian memory giants alongside concentrated market risks in Korea. Despite structural improvements in Japanese corporate governance and political stability fueling a 20% Nikkei surge, the discussion notes global valuations remain stretched and vulnerable to potential energy supply shocks or tech chain disruptions.
- Bank of America22 min
Summit, yen-tervention, & US rates
Mark Cabana, Adarsh Sinha, Meghan Swiber
On May 15, global rates experienced bear steepening while equities and AI stocks reached new highs despite unresolved geopolitical tensions and a lack of new trade barriers following the U.S.-China summit. Market strategists forecast increased upside risk for U.S. rate hikes and maintain a tactical bullish view on the dollar, driven by unsustainable rate differentials and ongoing intervention pressures in Japan. Concurrently, expectations for new Federal Reserve Chair Warsh center on his potential to shorten the balance sheet's weighted average maturity and his anticipated dovish reaction to stagflation risks at the upcoming June FOMC meeting.
- Bank of America25 min
A changing Federal Reserve
Sphia Salim, Aditya Bhave, Mark Cabana, Alex Cohen, Kevin Warsh, Zviya Salim
Kevin Walsh's Senate confirmation hearing strategy prioritizes securing a mandate for steady rates by emphasizing AI-driven productivity gains and full employment while avoiding direct calls for rate cuts. Concurrently, market analysts anticipate a prolonged pause in monetary policy, with a baseline forecast of potential cuts in September and October contingent on softer labor data and fading tariff effects. Despite Walsh's intentions to unilaterally alter communication protocols and shorten the duration of the Fed's balance sheet, these structural shifts face significant hurdles in convincing FOMC colleagues or fundamentally altering the central bank's current trajectory toward a flat rate path.
- Sequoia Capital32 min
This is AGI: Sequoia AI Ascent 2026 Keynote
Pat Grady, Sonya Huang, Konstantine Buhler
This analysis outlines a $10 trillion market opportunity driven by a paradigm shift from information distribution to autonomous computation, where AI agents are rapidly replacing cognitive labor with agentic systems capable of long-horizon execution. Founders are advised to leverage the "MAD" model—focusing on customer moats, immediate affordance, and bridging the adoption diffusion gap—to capitalize on a timeline that compresses years of work into days. The event further projects that by 2026, the convergence of these technologies will trigger a cognitive industrial revolution, fundamentally redefining human value from task execution to relationship building and strategic oversight.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 2: Regional Perspectives
David Mericle, Andrew Tilton, Jari Stehn, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs economists David Miracle, Andrew Tilton, and Yari Stein outline regional economic forecasts for 2026, projecting 2.5% US growth driven by tax cuts and Fed rate reductions alongside a resilient 4.8% expansion in China fueled by manufacturing competitiveness. The analysis highlights contrasting monetary trajectories, including the Bank of Japan's aggressive tightening to 0.75% and the ECB's projected rate hold, while warning of US labor market uncertainties and European structural weaknesses. These insights, recorded on January 7, 2026, serve as the second installment of the Outlook 2026 series, setting the stage for subsequent asset class discussions.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Will the Fed cut rates in December?
Analysts project a tight December Federal Reserve decision amid data gaps from the government shutdown, while market volatility reflects a recalibration of the AI growth narrative and a corporate shift toward leveraging debt. Corporate sentiment signals an inflection point in capital allocation as hyperscalers increase borrowing and reduce headcounts to chase AI efficiency, echoing historical leverage cycles. Simultaneously, geopolitical shifts and unexpected policy output from the 2025 administration are reshaping global trade flows and currency trends despite persistent inflationary stickiness.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
The Fed's Tightrope: Inflation, Labor, and the Path Ahead
Rob Kaplan, Allison Nathan, Robert Kaplan
Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan warns that the Federal Reserve faces a difficult December decision on interest rates as conflicting signals from tariffs, immigration uncertainty, and recent government shutdowns complicate the labor market outlook. With inflation running above target and structural mismatches limiting the efficacy of monetary policy, Kaplan argues that immediate cuts carry risks and suggests waiting for clearer data on 2026 growth drivers like AI infrastructure and tax incentives. While political pressure for lower rates exists, Kaplan maintains that the Fed's independent culture remains robust, though he anticipates potential shifts toward long-term bond purchases to manage the balance sheet.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
How Reliable is Economic Data?
Erica Groshen, Arthur Laffer, Alberto Cavallo, Joseph Briggs, Allison Nathan
Recent concerns regarding the reliability of U.S. economic data stem from funding cuts, a 15–20% staffing reduction at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the dismissal of its Commissioner by President Trump. Goldman Sachs research indicates that these operational constraints and declining survey responsiveness are increasing standard errors in key indicators like the CPI and JOLTS, creating a risk of data divergence. While current safeguards and institutional checks may prevent a total collapse of credibility, analysts warn that prolonged political interference and resource depletion could eventually erode market trust to the extent seen in Argentina.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Chairman and CEO David Solomon Joins CNBC to Discuss M&A Outlook, Opportunities for Europe, and AI
David Solomon, Sarah, Carl, Megan Casella
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon reported a 22% year-over-year profit surge driven by record equity trading volumes and a 30% rise in M&A activity, projecting a robust market environment through 2026 amid accelerating AI-driven investment. While anticipating constructive regulatory reforms and slightly higher economic growth, Solomon warned of long-term fiscal risks and emphasized the critical importance of maintaining Federal Reserve independence following recent political speculation regarding Jerome Powell. Additionally, the firm advocates for policy changes to support New York City's housing supply and business climate, signaling an active role in shaping future economic and regulatory landscapes.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Will tariffs lead to a recession?
Paul Krugman, Jan Hatzius, Oren Cass, Allison Nathan
Prominent economists Paul Krugman, Jan Hatzius, and Oren Cass debated the Trump administration's historic tariff expansion, which Krugman identifies as an unprecedented economic shock and Hatzius projects will reduce GDP growth by two percentage points while raising recession probabilities to 45%. While Krugman warns that policy uncertainty will stifle business investment and Hatzius cautions that the Federal Reserve faces a difficult trade-off between inflation and stagnation, Cass argues the measures represent a necessary structural correction to global supply chains that will eventually stimulate domestic production. The panel concluded that although immediate data lags obscure the full extent of damage, the severity of the downturn will ultimately depend on the Federal Reserve's ability to balance conflicting price and employment mandates against a backdrop of rapidly shifting trade policy.
- The Economist29 min
Mass graves: revealing Syria’s horror
Jason Palmer, Rosie Bloor, Gareth Brown, Sophie Petter, Andy Miller, Rachel Lloyd, Nicholas Barber
Ten days after Bashar al-Assad fled to Moscow, journalist Gareth Brown confirmed the existence of a massive mass grave in Al-Qutayfa where locals allege regime forces buried up to 100,000 political prisoners from Sadnaya prison. Meanwhile, France faces a deepening political crisis as President Emmanuel Macron appointed François Bayrou to lead a caretaker government following the dismissal of Prime Minister Michel Barnier, leaving the nation without a 2025 budget amidst threats of immediate no-confidence votes from all parliamentary factions. In cultural news, critics highlight three distinct 2024 releases: Sean Baker's *Anora* subverts marriage tropes, *All of Us Strangers* explores grief through supernatural drama, and *The Substance* delivers a satirical body-horror critique of Hollywood's ageism.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Should investors worry about market concentration?
David Kostin, Owen Lamont, Alison Nathan
Strategists David Kostin and Owen Lamont converge on the projection that U.S. equity markets face a decade of sub-10% returns driven by extreme concentration and elevated valuations, though they diverge on whether the top ten stocks' dominance itself constitutes the primary risk. Kostin warns that the current 36% market cap concentration creates a negative equity risk premium and recommends shifting to equal-weighted indices, while Lamont argues that future volatility will stem from AI-driven creative destruction and mean reversion rather than portfolio structure. Both analysts acknowledge that the sustainability of the "magnificent seven's" growth and potential AI bubbles remain critical variables that could accelerate a decline in market performance over the next ten years.
- The Economist23 min
Scandal in the wind: Adani’s indictment could hurt Modi
Adani, Modi, Jason Palmer, Rosie Bloor, Jeremy Page, Don Wineland, Katherine Nixie
Following a BJP landslide in Maharashtra and a US indictment alleging a $250 million bribery scheme, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi faces intensifying political scrutiny as opposition leader Rahul Gandhi demands an investigation into the Adani conglomerate's alleged corruption. Simultaneously, China's real estate sector remains in deep crisis with 2.8 billion square meters of unsold inventory, a situation driven by restrictive debt policies and hampered by ineffective government interventions that have failed to clear housing stocks or restore consumer confidence. In the cultural sphere, psychologist Jordan Peterson continues to polarize public opinion through his new theological book and controversial rhetoric, sustaining a commercially lucrative ecosystem of followers and critics while navigating academic and societal backlash regarding his views on gender and free speech.
- The Economist21 min
Doing their not-own thing: “generation rent”
Jason Palmer, Rosie Bloor, Tom Sass, Holly Berman, David Benin
Global analysis reveals a significant rise in private renting across Western democracies, driven by economic stagnation and housing inflation, while strict rent controls in Stockholm prove counterproductive compared to Auckland's successful upzoning strategies that boosted supply. Concurrently, the Biden administration's ultimatum to force TikTok's divestiture over national security concerns has sparked a high-profile legal battle alleging First Amendment violations, despite the administration's continued political reliance on the platform. In the cultural sphere, major artists like Taylor Swift and Billie Eilish are revitalizing the album format to secure dual revenue streams and challenge historical gender biases in music consumption.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
Lord Simon Woolley, Co-Founder, Operation Black Vote
Lord Simon Woolley, Ian Drayton
Hosted by Goldman Sachs' Ian Drayton, Lord Simon Woolley discusses his journey from a Windrush-generation upbringing to founding Operation Black Vote, where he pioneered a non-partisan strategy to mobilize 20,000 minority voters and force political parties to address racial justice. The conversation details how this approach secured legislative influence in the 1997 election and created a leadership pipeline that includes Mayors and ministers, while critically examining institutional exclusion in elite education. Woolley concludes by challenging the next generation to embrace their heritage and demand success, framing representation as a necessary foundation for drawing others into positions of power.