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  1. Goldman Sachs21 min

    Will US Stocks Outperform in 2026?

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs projects global equities to outperform U.S. stocks in 2026, with emerging markets excluding China forecast to lead returns despite a negative outlook on Chinese assets due to a disconnect between official GDP figures and independent growth estimates. While identifying potential valuation risks and "bubble trouble" within the private AI sector, the firm advises against hedges like gold or Bitcoin in favor of U.S. Treasuries and broad S&P 500 exposure. The strategic recommendation centers on maintaining a diversified portfolio with a U.S. overweight, utilizing the index's rebalancing mechanism to capture long-term returns driven by margin expansion and AI efficiency.

  2. Goldman Sachs24 min

    Qatar PM Al Thani: Diplomacy and Qatar's Economic Future

    Al Thani, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani, Jared Cohen

    Qatar leverages its "national security doctrine" to position itself as a neutral global mediator and logistics hub, aiming to prevent regional escalation while securing geopolitical leverage for its economy. This strategy drives the Qatar Investment Authority to transform the state into a multi-sector powerhouse by creating "national champions" like Qatar Airways and Qatar Energy, ensuring growth beyond its small population limits. Following lessons from the 2017 blockade, the nation further strengthens its resilience through Vision 2030, which prioritizes human capital development and diversified energy supplies to maintain stability amid eight concurrent international conflicts.

  3. Goldman Sachs22 min

    Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon on AI, M&A, and Markets

    David Solomon, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs analysts project the 2026 global economy will benefit from stimulative fiscal and monetary policies that favor the U.S. structural growth advantage over Europe and China, despite lingering geopolitical risks. The firm anticipates a historic surge in M&A and IPO activity driven by a permissive regulatory environment and shifting CEO sentiment toward dealmaking. Internally, the organization is leveraging its "OneGS 3.0" AI strategy to restructure legacy processes, aiming to boost efficiency and productivity without reducing headcount while focusing future growth on asset and wealth management.

  4. Goldman Sachs20 min

    Will macro tailwinds drive stocks higher?

    Dominic, Josh

    Markets in early 2025 exhibit a shift from narrow AI concentration to broader cyclical leadership, driven by non-U.S. outperformance in regions like Japan and Korea alongside a breakout in U.S. bond yields. Analysts project a Federal Reserve holding rates through spring before implementing 50 to 100 basis points of cuts later in the year, coinciding with a "Year of the Tariff" that is expected to transition into a global growth cycle by 2026. Investors are consequently advised to diversify beyond the S&P 500 into international equities and U.S. cyclicals like housing and regional banks to navigate elevated valuations and a steeper yield curve.

  5. Goldman Sachs27 min

    Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 3: Assets and Allocation

    Peter Oppenheimer, Kamakshya Trivedi, Daan Struyven, Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alyssa Nathan

    A 2026 global equity strategy forecasts sustained optimism driven by profit growth and moderating inflation, with a strategic tilt toward undervalued emerging markets and AI application sectors. The outlook anticipates a depreciating US dollar and a tail end of global easing, prompting portfolio managers to favor equities over credit while hedging against stretched valuations through diversified alternatives. Simultaneously, commodities are positioned for divergence, featuring a base case for a 10% gold rally and strategic long exposure to local US power markets fueled by surging AI data center demand.

  6. Goldman Sachs23 min

    Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 2: Regional Perspectives

    David Mericle, Andrew Tilton, Jari Stehn, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs economists David Miracle, Andrew Tilton, and Yari Stein outline regional economic forecasts for 2026, projecting 2.5% US growth driven by tax cuts and Fed rate reductions alongside a resilient 4.8% expansion in China fueled by manufacturing competitiveness. The analysis highlights contrasting monetary trajectories, including the Bank of Japan's aggressive tightening to 0.75% and the ECB's projected rate hold, while warning of US labor market uncertainties and European structural weaknesses. These insights, recorded on January 7, 2026, serve as the second installment of the Outlook 2026 series, setting the stage for subsequent asset class discussions.

  7. Goldman Sachs26 min

    Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 1: The Big Picture

    Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs projects 2026 global growth to reach 2.7%, driven by the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," German fiscal easing, and the fading impact of 2025 tariffs. The firm forecasts a 2.5% expansion for the U.S. economy alongside expected Federal Reserve rate cuts that aim to lower inflation and address labor market stagnation. While equities are anticipated to deliver low double-digit returns, analysts warn of recession risks tied to the "SOM Rule" and elevated valuations that may trigger significant market volatility.

  8. Goldman Sachs22 min

    Turning $700 into a Billion-Dollar Brand: John Paul DeJoria

    John Paul DeJoria, Meena Flynn

    John Paul Mitchell founded John Paul Mitchell Systems and successfully launched the Patrón tequila brand by leveraging resilience and a partnership-based management philosophy derived from his Navy service and humble childhood. The company operates under a 360-year trust structure that prevents sale and ensures all proceeds benefit the beauty industry and its partners, while Mitchell continues to prioritize anonymous philanthropy focused on homelessness and food insecurity. Through strategic pivots from hair care to premium spirits, Mitchell transformed a bootstrapped startup into the world's largest privately owned salon hair care company and executed the largest liquor business sale in history.

  9. Goldman Sachs24 min

    Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong: Propelling the Crypto Economy

    Brian Armstrong, David Solomon

    Brian Armstrong co-founded Coinbase in 2012 to bridge cryptocurrency and traditional finance, growing the platform into a publicly traded entity serving over 150 governments and 80% of Bitcoin ETFs. The company is currently transitioning its infrastructure toward an on-chain ecosystem through its Base Layer 2 solution and open-source AgentKit tools, which facilitate AI-driven payments and tokenized assets. Armstrong has further solidified the industry's political viability by mobilizing two million users to support pro-crypto candidates, positioning regulatory clarity as a prerequisite for the next decade of global financial innovation.

  10. Goldman Sachs35 min

    Looking for Trends: One River Asset Management's Eric Peters

    Eric Peters, Tony Pasquarello

    Eric Peters, a veteran trader and founder of One River, outlines a macro strategy combining systematic trend following and long volatility to navigate a global debt expansion era while advocating for Bitcoin as a sovereign-resistant collateral. His analysis projects a significant financial crisis within the next decade driven by unsustainable interest obligations, despite current government efforts to leverage AI and monetary policy to delay the inevitable. Peters emphasizes that a robust portfolio must dynamically hedge against these non-linear risks, leveraging historical data showing a 40x return over the S&P 500 since 2007 through this disciplined, non-directional approach.

  11. Goldman Sachs22 min

    AppLovin's Adam Foroughi: The Power of a Startup Mindset

    Adam Foroughi, Dan Dees

    AppLovin CEO Adam Farooqi leads the $200 billion mobile technology firm, which leverages a lean 400-person core team and advanced neural networks to dominate performance marketing and generate over $4 billion in annual EBITA. Following a near-total valuation collapse after its 2021 IPO, the company executed a strategic $5 billion share buyback program that restored over $100 billion in market value and drove stock prices to approximately $600 per share. Farooqi sustains this growth by enforcing a culture of extreme operational efficiency, mandatory AI integration for internal workflows, and direct personal oversight of all key hiring decisions.

  12. Goldman Sachs27 min

    Transforming Work Productivity with AI: Glean CEO Arvind Jain

    Arvind Jain, Kim Posnett

    Founded by Arvind Krishna to address enterprise productivity crises caused by fragmented knowledge, Glean has evolved from an internal search engine into an agentic AI platform that proactively executes business tasks while maintaining strict data security through permission-based access. The company is on track to facilitate one billion agent actions this year by leveraging a four-year head start in deep integration and specialized "thinking models" that minimize hallucinations. Krishna positions this technology as an augmentation tool designed to expand human potential and strategic capacity rather than replace teams, predicting that the majority of knowledge work will shift to proactive AI systems within five years.

  13. Goldman Sachs37 min

    ‘Who’s the Next Winner?’: Diameter Capital’s Scott Goodwin

    Scott Goodwin, Michael Brandmeier, John Lewinson

    Diameter Capital leverages proprietary data analysis to navigate credit market stress, identifying distress in private credit and SaaS while capitalizing on undervalued opportunities in AI infrastructure and the X (Twitter) debt restructuring. Founded by Scott Goodwin and Jonathan Lewinson, the firm differentiates its strategy by bypassing traditional ratings to target unrated securities, a disciplined approach that generated significant returns on fiber and spectrum bets through active syndicate management with partners like Goldman Sachs. Looking ahead, the firm anticipates a prolonged AI microcycle and a gradual software sector correction, positioning its portfolio to acquire distressed assets as the market shifts from capital expenditure to actual adoption phases.

  14. Goldman Sachs28 min

    The US-China Tech Race

    Mark Kennedy, Paul Triolo, Allison Nathan

    The US-China technological rivalry spans four strategic arenas, with Washington retaining dominance in fundamental innovation and China leading in application, infrastructure deployment, and self-sufficiency efforts. While US export controls have stalled China's access to advanced EUV lithography and high-end GPUs, these restrictions are simultaneously accelerating Beijing's parallel development of domestic chip manufacturing and open-source AI models. This dynamic creates a potential future where the US owns core design standards while China controls physical hardware and global markets, though US leadership ultimately hinges on resolving domestic energy grid constraints and sustaining its talent pipelines.

  15. Goldman Sachs30 min

    From Assets to Alpha: David Kostin on US Equities

    David Kostin, Allison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Koston forecasts a 20%+ return for U.S. stocks in 2026 based on economic stability and earnings growth, while distinguishing between the fundamentally grounded public AI market and a potentially bubble-ridden private sector driven by reflexive capital inflows. Despite projecting long-term annualized returns of 6.5% over the next decade, Koston identifies immediate opportunities in undervalued healthcare, stable middle-income consumer sectors, and AI-driven revenue generators as institutional funds struggle to outperform benchmarks. As Koston transitions from the Chief U.S. Equity Strategist role to an Advisory Director position in 2026, his successor Ben Snyder will inherit a market characterized by high concentration risk and shifting investor behavior from asset accumulation to alpha generation.