Latest Interviews
Showing 1–15 of 88 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs24 min
How Family Businesses Should Plan for Generational Success
FX de Mallmann, Tucker York, Alison Nathan
While family-owned enterprises drive 70% of global economic output and dominate sectors from luxury goods to defense, only 10% successfully transition to a third generation due to poor succession planning. Key operational challenges include the tension between emotional family identity and the need for disciplined capital allocation, often necessitating the integration of professional non-family management as firms scale. To mitigate concentrated risk and resolve governance conflicts, successful transitions increasingly rely on formal exit mechanisms, external capital infusions, and a strategic shift from business management to long-term wealth stewardship.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
How Family Businesses Should Plan for Generational Success
FX de Mallmann, Tucker York, Alison Nathan
Despite accounting for 70% of global economic output and 80% of US enterprises, family-owned businesses face steep succession hurdles, with only 30% surviving into a second generation and 10% reaching the third. These entities often outperform non-family peers by prioritizing legacy continuity and disciplined capital allocation, yet they frequently lack formal succession plans to navigate the complex alignment of founder objectives with next-generation aspirations. Strategic governance mechanisms and the professionalization of management are critical for overcoming these transition challenges and sustaining value through generational shifts.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Why Global Bond Yields Are Surging
Global government bond yields have surged to multi-decade highs due to synchronized pressures from historic fiscal deficits, AI-driven private borrowing, and energy price shocks. In response, major treasuries are shifting issuance strategies toward shorter maturities and executing long-duration buybacks to manage liquidity without reversing the fundamental yield trajectory. Investors are advised to reduce duration exposure amidst inflation risks while monitoring AI CapEx trends and fiscal consolidation signals for potential medium-term market normalization.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
What the US-Japan Currency Intervention Means for the Yen, Rates, and the Dollar
Karen Fishman, Praneet Shah, Alison Nathan
On July 30th, Japan executed its largest coordinated foreign exchange intervention in 15 years, injecting an estimated $85 billion to halt the yen's slide to 40-year lows against the U.S. dollar. This historic joint action with the United States triggered a 3% immediate appreciation, forcing the rapid unwinding of leveraged carry trades and marking the first such collaboration since October 2011. While the immediate impact stabilized the market, analysts project the intervention serves only as a temporary fix until the Bank of Japan implements anticipated rate hikes in September.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Private Markets at an Inflection Point
Pete Lyon, Michael Brandmeyer, Alison Nathan
Driven by a structural shift in private markets where holding periods have elongated and distributions remain below historical averages, industry leaders anticipate normalization by 2026 as liquidity channels diversify and Fed rate hikes subside. While public market rallies have temporarily compressed private equity alpha, the asset class maintains resilience against equity volatility and serves as the primary hub for innovation, supported by a secondary market projected to double in size. Goldman Sachs predicts that sustained earnings growth and easing debt conditions will eventually trigger a gradual increase in IPO and M&A activity, potentially surpassing 2021 deal volumes within three years if geopolitical stability is restored.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
The AI Investment Boom: When Will It Pay Off?
Jim Covello, Alison Nathan, George Lee
In a Goldman Sachs Exchanges episode recorded on May 26, 2026, Jim Cabello and George Lee analyze the divergence between surging AI technology and unproven economic returns. Cabello admits previous misjudgments regarding consumer adoption and hyperscaler spending patterns while warning that the current exclusive profitability of semiconductor firms creates an unsustainable market dynamic. The dialogue concludes that without evidence of enterprise-scale profitability within the next two years, the industry faces a potential correction where hyperscaler stocks are poised to outperform if capital expenditure moderates or profit distribution shifts upstream.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
Can the Asia Equity Rally Continue?
Following a neutral Trump-Xi summit that stabilized diplomatic expectations, Goldman Sachs analysts upgraded Chinese A-share earnings forecasts to 25% while highlighting a stark performance divergence between onshore equities and offshore stocks weighed down by major tech underperformance. The firm projects a sustained semiconductor supercycle driven by artificial intelligence demand, yet warns of near-term tactical overbought conditions in North Asian memory giants alongside concentrated market risks in Korea. Despite structural improvements in Japanese corporate governance and political stability fueling a 20% Nikkei surge, the discussion notes global valuations remain stretched and vulnerable to potential energy supply shocks or tech chain disruptions.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
AI Exchanges: Power Problems?
Brian Singer, Alison Nathan, George Lee
Goldman Sachs projects a 220% surge in global data center power demand by 2030 as hyperscalers commit over $300 billion to infrastructure, a trajectory comparable to adding the world's sixth-largest power consumer to the grid. This aggressive expansion faces severe bottlenecks in skilled labor and transmission supply, forcing a near-term reliance on natural gas simple-cycle generators while industry leaders navigate regulatory hurdles and "agentic" AI traffic growth. Despite the high capital intensity and a potential $40 per megawatt-hour premium for green energy, major technology firms maintain robust balance sheets to fund these transition costs while seeking to decouple their power expenses from consumer utility rates.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Will US Stocks Outperform in 2026?
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects global equities to outperform U.S. stocks in 2026, with emerging markets excluding China forecast to lead returns despite a negative outlook on Chinese assets due to a disconnect between official GDP figures and independent growth estimates. While identifying potential valuation risks and "bubble trouble" within the private AI sector, the firm advises against hedges like gold or Bitcoin in favor of U.S. Treasuries and broad S&P 500 exposure. The strategic recommendation centers on maintaining a diversified portfolio with a U.S. overweight, utilizing the index's rebalancing mechanism to capture long-term returns driven by margin expansion and AI efficiency.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon on AI, M&A, and Markets
Goldman Sachs analysts project the 2026 global economy will benefit from stimulative fiscal and monetary policies that favor the U.S. structural growth advantage over Europe and China, despite lingering geopolitical risks. The firm anticipates a historic surge in M&A and IPO activity driven by a permissive regulatory environment and shifting CEO sentiment toward dealmaking. Internally, the organization is leveraging its "OneGS 3.0" AI strategy to restructure legacy processes, aiming to boost efficiency and productivity without reducing headcount while focusing future growth on asset and wealth management.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 2: Regional Perspectives
David Mericle, Andrew Tilton, Jari Stehn, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs economists David Miracle, Andrew Tilton, and Yari Stein outline regional economic forecasts for 2026, projecting 2.5% US growth driven by tax cuts and Fed rate reductions alongside a resilient 4.8% expansion in China fueled by manufacturing competitiveness. The analysis highlights contrasting monetary trajectories, including the Bank of Japan's aggressive tightening to 0.75% and the ECB's projected rate hold, while warning of US labor market uncertainties and European structural weaknesses. These insights, recorded on January 7, 2026, serve as the second installment of the Outlook 2026 series, setting the stage for subsequent asset class discussions.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 1: The Big Picture
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects 2026 global growth to reach 2.7%, driven by the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," German fiscal easing, and the fading impact of 2025 tariffs. The firm forecasts a 2.5% expansion for the U.S. economy alongside expected Federal Reserve rate cuts that aim to lower inflation and address labor market stagnation. While equities are anticipated to deliver low double-digit returns, analysts warn of recession risks tied to the "SOM Rule" and elevated valuations that may trigger significant market volatility.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
The Shutdown’s Economic Impact
A partisan role reversal has precipitated a broad federal government shutdown as Democrats withhold support for clean spending bills to demand the extension of ACA health insurance subsidies, a move that polling suggests is driving voter blame toward Republicans. The crisis faces a critical resolution pressure point on October 15 when active-duty military personnel miss a pay cycle, a deadline that historically compels congressional action to avoid widespread economic disruption. While the shutdown projects to reduce Q4 GDP by approximately 0.3 percentage points and delay key economic data releases, market analysts and the Federal Reserve anticipate the stalemate will resolve quickly through a targeted fiscal compromise.
- Goldman Sachs36 min
Are Investors Complacent?
Jan Hatzius, Dom Wilson, Alison Nathan, Dominic Wilson
The U.S. has raised effective tariff rates by nine percentage points, introducing new levies on China, Canada, and Mexico while delaying agricultural tariffs until late next year. This shift, combined with a fiscally expansionary "Big Beautiful Act," is projected to push core PCE inflation to the low threes and suppress 2025 GDP growth to between 1% and 1.5%. In response, financial markets anticipate Federal Reserve rate cuts beginning in September to mitigate these temporary price shocks, while the U.S. dollar continues a structural depreciation against a backdrop of resilient global trade.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Mid-year outlook: diversify and hedge
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs strategists Christian Mueller-Glissman and Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo analyze a complex macro environment where unprecedented volatility in equities, bonds, and the dollar has converged, yet the US economy remains on track for a non-recessionary cool-down. They recommend a shift from traditional diversification toward a "constellation" of alternatives and selective optimism, highlighting opportunities in defensive stocks, European banking, and private capital while warning of elevated summer risks from tariffs and geopolitical tensions. The consensus advice is to embrace growth trajectories while hedging against near-term liquidity thinning, anticipating a market recovery driven by policy clarity and positive fiscal dynamics extending into 2026.